Adelaide United FCvs
Melbourne Victory
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected goals
1.7
Melbourne Victory xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
1–0
6%
Home
Adelaide United FC
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.7
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Melbourne Victory
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory?
Melbourne Victory is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Adelaide United FC's current form?
Adelaide United FC have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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