Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar
🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Adelaide United xG
Expected goals
1.9
Brisbane Roar xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
Home
Adelaide United
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Brisbane Roar
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar?
Adelaide United is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Adelaide United's current form?
Adelaide United have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 A-League meetings, Adelaide United won 3, drew 2, and Brisbane Roar won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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