Match Analysis

Auckland FCvsMelbourne City FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
24%
36%
Auckland FC winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.36Avg goals scored1.56
1.64Avg goals conceded1.42
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Melbourne City FC xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland FC vs Melbourne City FC?

Auckland FC is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland FC's current form?

Auckland FC have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win40%
Draw24%
Melbourne City FC Win36%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%