โšก Match Analysis

Auckland Fc vs Wellington Phoenix Fc

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

85%
11%
4%
Auckland FC winDrawWellington Phoenix FC win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.80
1.46Avg goals scored0.74
0.85Avg goals conceded1.90
3โ€“2โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

0.5

Wellington Phoenix FC xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“0

16%

1โ€“0

13%

3โ€“0

13%

2โ€“1

8%

4โ€“0

8%

1โ€“1

7%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

WWDWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Wellington Phoenix FC

Wellington Phoenix FC

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Auckland Fcall timeWellington Phoenix Fc
6W
21 Feb 26
Wellington Phoenix FC0โ€“5Auckland FC
6 Dec 25
Auckland FC3โ€“1Wellington Phoenix FC
8 Nov 25
Wellington Phoenix FC1โ€“2Auckland FC
22 Feb 25
Auckland FC6โ€“1Wellington Phoenix FC
7 Dec 24
Auckland FC2โ€“1Wellington Phoenix FC
2 Nov 24
Wellington Phoenix FC0โ€“2Auckland FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland Fc vs Wellington Phoenix Fc?

Auckland FC is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland Fc's current form?

Auckland Fc have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 A-League meetings, Auckland Fc won 6, drew 0, and Wellington Phoenix Fc won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Auckland FC Win85%
Draw11%
Wellington Phoenix FC Win4%
BTTS36%
Over 2.555%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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