Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Brisbane Roar xG
Expected goals
2.9
Perth Glory xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
9%
0–3
9%
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–4
7%
0–1
6%
Home
Brisbane Roar
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Perth Glory
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Perth Glory is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brisbane Roar's current form?
Brisbane Roar have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 A-League meetings, Brisbane Roar won 3, drew 1, and Perth Glory won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from A-League