Match Analysis

Central Coast Mariners FCvsBrisbane Roar FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
23%
46%
Central Coast Mariners FC winDrawBrisbane Roar FC win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
0.97Avg goals scored1.67
2.31Avg goals conceded1.00
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

Expected goals

1.7

Brisbane Roar FC xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

LDLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Brisbane Roar FC

Brisbane Roar FC

WDWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Central Coast Mariners FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

Brisbane Roar FC is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Central Coast Mariners FC's current form?

Central Coast Mariners FC have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Central Coast Mariners FC Win31%
Draw23%
Brisbane Roar FC Win46%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%