Match Analysis

Central Coast Mariners FCvsNewcastle Jets

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
23%
35%
Central Coast Mariners FC winDrawNewcastle Jets win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.20
0.97Avg goals scored0.95
2.31Avg goals conceded2.03
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Newcastle Jets xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

LDLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LLLLD

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Central Coast Mariners FC vs Newcastle Jets?

Central Coast Mariners FC is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Central Coast Mariners FC's current form?

Central Coast Mariners FC have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Central Coast Mariners FC Win42%
Draw23%
Newcastle Jets Win35%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%