Match Analysis

Macarthur FCvsBrisbane Roar FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
26%
37%
Macarthur FC winDrawBrisbane Roar FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
0.95Avg goals scored1.67
1.04Avg goals conceded1.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

1.4

Brisbane Roar FC xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

LDDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Brisbane Roar FC

Brisbane Roar FC

WDWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Macarthur FC's current form?

Macarthur FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win37%
Draw26%
Brisbane Roar FC Win37%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%