Match Analysis

Macarthur FCvsCentral Coast Mariners FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
24%
26%
Macarthur FC winDrawCentral Coast Mariners FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.40
0.95Avg goals scored0.97
1.04Avg goals conceded2.31
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

1.2

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

LDDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

LDLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC?

Macarthur FC is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur FC's current form?

Macarthur FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win50%
Draw24%
Central Coast Mariners FC Win26%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%