โšก Match Analysis

Macarthur Fc vs Melbourne City Fc

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
22%
43%
Macarthur FC winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.80
2.28Avg goals scored1.90
1.92Avg goals conceded1.08
3โ€“0โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

2.7

Melbourne City FC xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“2

6%

1โ€“3

6%

2โ€“3

6%

1โ€“1

5%

2โ€“1

5%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Macarthur Fcall timeMelbourne City Fc
3W
2D
1W
24 Jan 26
Macarthur FC6โ€“2Melbourne City FC
23 Dec 25
Melbourne City FC1โ€“1Macarthur FC
7 Mar 25
Melbourne City FC2โ€“0Macarthur FC
25 Jan 25
Macarthur FC1โ€“0Melbourne City FC
1 Mar 24
Macarthur FC2โ€“0Melbourne City FC
12 Nov 23
Melbourne City FC3โ€“3Macarthur FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur Fc vs Melbourne City Fc?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur Fc's current form?

Macarthur Fc have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 A-League meetings, Macarthur Fc won 3, drew 2, and Melbourne City Fc won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win35%
Draw22%
Melbourne City FC Win43%
BTTS82%
Over 2.586%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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