Match Analysis

Macarthur FCvsPerth Glory FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
25%
39%
Macarthur FC winDrawPerth Glory FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
0.95Avg goals scored2.10
1.04Avg goals conceded1.17
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Perth Glory FC xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

LDDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Perth Glory FC

Perth Glory FC

WWLLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory FC?

Perth Glory FC is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur FC's current form?

Macarthur FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win36%
Draw25%
Perth Glory FC Win39%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%