Melbourne City FCvs
Sydney FC
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Melbourne City FC xG
Expected goals
1.6
Sydney FC xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
2–2
7%
Home
Melbourne City FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Sydney FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Melbourne City FC's current form?
Melbourne City FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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