โšก Match Analysis

Melbourne City Fc vs Sydney Fc

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
31%
20%
Melbourne City FC winDrawSydney FC win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.73Avg goals scored0.92
1.24Avg goals conceded0.78
3โ€“0โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

0.9

Sydney FC xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

15%

1โ€“1

13%

0โ€“0

12%

0โ€“1

11%

2โ€“0

9%

2โ€“1

8%

Home

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Melbourne City Fcall timeSydney Fc
4W
2D
17 Mar 26
Sydney FC0โ€“1Melbourne City FC
3 Jan 26
Melbourne City FC0โ€“0Sydney FC
3 May 25
Melbourne City FC5โ€“1Sydney FC
29 Mar 25
Sydney FC2โ€“3Melbourne City FC
24 Feb 24
Sydney FC1โ€“1Melbourne City FC
3 Nov 23
Melbourne City FC2โ€“0Sydney FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne City Fc vs Sydney Fc?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne City Fc's current form?

Melbourne City Fc have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 A-League meetings, Melbourne City Fc won 4, drew 2, and Sydney Fc won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win49%
Draw31%
Sydney FC Win20%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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