Match Analysis

Melbourne City FCvsSydney FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
24%
38%
Melbourne City FC winDrawSydney FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.56Avg goals scored1.91
1.42Avg goals conceded1.06
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sydney FC xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

WLWDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Melbourne City FC's current form?

Melbourne City FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win38%
Draw24%
Sydney FC Win38%
BTTS64%
Over 2.562%