Match Analysis

Newcastle JetsvsAuckland FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
24%
39%
Newcastle Jets winDrawAuckland FC win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
0.95Avg goals scored1.36
2.03Avg goals conceded1.64
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Newcastle Jets xG

Expected goals

1.6

Auckland FC xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LLLLD

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Auckland FC?

Auckland FC is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle Jets's current form?

Newcastle Jets have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Newcastle Jets Win37%
Draw24%
Auckland FC Win39%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%