Newcastle Jetsvs
Wellington Phoenix
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Newcastle Jets xG
Expected goals
1.7
Wellington Phoenix xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
0–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–2
9%
1–0
7%
0–0
6%
Home
Newcastle Jets
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Wellington Phoenix
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle Jets's current form?
Newcastle Jets have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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