Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Fc
🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Newcastle Jets xG
Expected goals
0.5
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
14%
3–0
13%
1–0
10%
4–0
9%
2–1
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Newcastle Jets
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Wellington Phoenix FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Fc?
Newcastle Jets is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle Jets's current form?
Newcastle Jets have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 A-League meetings, Newcastle Jets won 3, drew 1, and Wellington Phoenix Fc won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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