โšก Match Analysis

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
35%
25%
Perth Glory winDrawNewcastle Jets win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.64Avg goals scored1.72
0.67Avg goals conceded0.98
2โ€“3โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“3โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Perth Glory xG

Expected goals

0.9

Newcastle Jets xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

14%

1โ€“1

13%

0โ€“0

10%

2โ€“0

10%

0โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

Home

Perth Glory

Perth Glory

WDWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 7 meetings

Perth Gloryall timeNewcastle Jets
1W
4D
2W
13 Feb 26
Perth Glory1โ€“3Newcastle Jets
23 Nov 25
Newcastle Jets1โ€“2Perth Glory
25 Jan 25
Newcastle Jets2โ€“2Perth Glory
14 Dec 24
Perth Glory0โ€“4Newcastle Jets
9 Mar 24
Perth Glory2โ€“2Newcastle Jets
16 Dec 23
Newcastle Jets2โ€“2Perth Glory
22 Oct 23
Perth Glory2โ€“2Newcastle Jets

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Perth Glory is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Perth Glory's current form?

Perth Glory have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 A-League meetings, Perth Glory won 1, drew 4, and Newcastle Jets won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 7 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Perth Glory Win40%
Draw35%
Newcastle Jets Win25%
BTTS45%
Over 2.540%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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