Match Analysis

Sydney FCvsCentral Coast Mariners FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
21%
21%
Sydney FC winDrawCentral Coast Mariners FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.40
1.91Avg goals scored0.97
1.06Avg goals conceded2.31
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Sydney FC xG

Expected goals

1.2

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

WLWDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

LDLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC?

Sydney FC is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sydney FC's current form?

Sydney FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sydney FC Win58%
Draw21%
Central Coast Mariners FC Win21%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%