Wellington Phoenixvs
Adelaide United FC
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Wellington Phoenix xG
Expected goals
1
Adelaide United FC xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Wellington Phoenix
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Adelaide United FC
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.7
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United FC?
Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Wellington Phoenix's current form?
Wellington Phoenix have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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