Wellington Phoenixvs
Macarthur FC
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Wellington Phoenix xG
Expected goals
1
Macarthur FC xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
Wellington Phoenix
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Macarthur FC
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC?
Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Wellington Phoenix's current form?
Wellington Phoenix have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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