Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsVasco da Gama

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
22%
40%
Athletico-PR winDrawVasco da Gama win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.80
1.52Avg goals scored1.64
1.80Avg goals conceded1.48
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

1.8

Vasco da Gama xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

WWLLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Vasco da Gama is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win38%
Draw22%
Vasco da Gama Win40%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%