Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
25%
26%
Atlético-MG winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
1.21Avg goals scored1.10
1.13Avg goals conceded1.52
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.1

Corinthians xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Corinthians?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win49%
Draw25%
Corinthians Win26%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%