Atlético-MGvs
Cruzeiro
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Atlético-MG xG
Expected goals
1.6
Cruzeiro xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
2–1
8%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Atlético-MG
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.1
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Cruzeiro
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético-MG's current form?
Atlético-MG have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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