Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
24%
42%
Atlético-MG winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game2.40
1.21Avg goals scored2.07
1.13Avg goals conceded1.30
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.6

Cruzeiro xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win34%
Draw24%
Cruzeiro Win42%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%