Match Analysis

BahiavsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
23%
24%
Bahia winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.48Avg goals scored0.86
1.58Avg goals conceded1.58
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Bahia xG

Expected goals

1.2

Coritiba xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

LWLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Coritiba?

Bahia is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win53%
Draw23%
Coritiba Win24%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%