Match Analysis

BahiavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
19%
61%
Bahia winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
1.48Avg goals scored2.51
1.58Avg goals conceded0.86
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Bahia xG

Expected goals

2.3

Flamengo xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win20%
Draw19%
Flamengo Win61%
BTTS65%
Over 2.570%