Match Analysis

BotafogovsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
28%
40%
Botafogo winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
0.86Avg goals scored1.21
1.35Avg goals conceded1.13
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Atlético-MG xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–0

9%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Atlético-MG?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win32%
Draw28%
Atlético-MG Win40%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%