Match Analysis

BotafogovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
25%
40%
Botafogo winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.87Avg goals scored1.48
1.35Avg goals conceded1.58
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bahia xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Bahia?

Bahia is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win35%
Draw25%
Bahia Win40%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%