Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
15%
77%
Chapecoense winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.91Avg goals scored2.19
2.19Avg goals conceded0.47
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

2.6

Palmeiras xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

12%

0–3

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–4

7%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win8%
Draw15%
Palmeiras Win77%
BTTS47%
Over 2.564%