Chapecoensevs
Vasco da Gama
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Chapecoense xG
Expected goals
2.1
Vasco da Gama xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–1
7%
0–2
7%
1–3
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Chapecoense
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Vasco da Gama
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chapecoense's current form?
Chapecoense have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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