Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
27%
30%
Corinthians winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.10Avg goals scored0.86
1.52Avg goals conceded1.35
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.1

Botafogo xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

2–0

8%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Corinthians is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win43%
Draw27%
Botafogo Win30%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%