Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
25%
35%
Corinthians winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.10Avg goals scored1.20
1.52Avg goals conceded1.50
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.4

Grêmio xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Grêmio?

Corinthians is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win40%
Draw25%
Grêmio Win35%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%