Match Analysis

CoritibavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
18%
68%
Coritiba winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.60
0.86Avg goals scored2.51
1.58Avg goals conceded0.86
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

2.3

Flamengo xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–1

8%

1–3

7%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

LWLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win14%
Draw18%
Flamengo Win68%
BTTS53%
Over 2.562%