Match Analysis

CoritibavsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
25%
47%
Coritiba winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.85Avg goals scored1.39
1.59Avg goals conceded1.22
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.5

Santos xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

LWLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Santos

Santos

LDDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win28%
Draw25%
Santos Win47%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%