Match Analysis

CoritibavsVitória

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
27%
32%
Coritiba winDrawVitória win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.40
0.86Avg goals scored0.91
1.58Avg goals conceded1.63
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.2

Vitória xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

LWLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Vitória

Vitória

LLDDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Vitória?

Coritiba is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win41%
Draw27%
Vitória Win32%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%