Match Analysis

CruzeirovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
20%
23%
Cruzeiro winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.40
2.07Avg goals scored1.48
1.30Avg goals conceded1.58
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bahia xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win57%
Draw20%
Bahia Win23%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%