Match Analysis

CruzeirovsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
23%
51%
Cruzeiro winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.00
2.07Avg goals scored2.19
1.30Avg goals conceded0.47
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.8

Palmeiras xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

6%

1–3

6%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win26%
Draw23%
Palmeiras Win51%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%