Match Analysis

FlamengovsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

74%
15%
11%
Flamengo winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.80
2.51Avg goals scored1.52
0.86Avg goals conceded1.80
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

1.1

Athletico-PR xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

3–0

7%

1–1

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Athletico-PR?

Flamengo is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win74%
Draw15%
Athletico-PR Win11%
BTTS63%
Over 2.576%