Match Analysis

FlamengovsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
20%
16%
Flamengo winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.20
2.51Avg goals scored1.21
0.86Avg goals conceded1.13
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

1

Atlético-MG xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?

Flamengo is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win64%
Draw20%
Atlético-MG Win16%
BTTS56%
Over 2.562%