Match Analysis

FlamengovsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
16%
12%
Flamengo winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.51Avg goals scored1.20
0.86Avg goals conceded1.50
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

1

Grêmio xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Flamengo is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win72%
Draw16%
Grêmio Win12%
BTTS59%
Over 2.570%