Match Analysis

FluminensevsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
22%
34%
Fluminense winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
1.83Avg goals scored2.07
1.14Avg goals conceded1.31
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1.6

Cruzeiro xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

3–1

6%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Cruzeiro?

Fluminense is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win44%
Draw22%
Cruzeiro Win34%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%