Match Analysis

FluminensevsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
23%
27%
Fluminense winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.84Avg goals scored1.39
1.14Avg goals conceded1.22
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1.2

Santos xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Santos

Santos

LDDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Santos?

Fluminense is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win50%
Draw23%
Santos Win27%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%