Grêmiovs
Athletico-PR
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Grêmio xG
Expected goals
1.6
Athletico-PR xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
1–0
6%
Home
Grêmio
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Athletico-PR
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.8
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Athletico-PR?
Grêmio is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Grêmio's current form?
Grêmio have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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