Match Analysis

GrêmiovsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
26%
36%
Grêmio winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.20Avg goals scored1.17
1.50Avg goals conceded1.25
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.3

Mirassol xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Mirassol?

Grêmio is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win38%
Draw26%
Mirassol Win36%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%