Match Analysis

MirassolvsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
23%
32%
Mirassol winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.17Avg goals scored1.51
1.25Avg goals conceded1.80
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1.4

Athletico-PR xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Athletico-PR?

Mirassol is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win45%
Draw23%
Athletico-PR Win32%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%