Match Analysis

MirassolvsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
27%
35%
Mirassol winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.20
1.17Avg goals scored1.21
1.25Avg goals conceded1.14
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1.2

Atlético-MG xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?

Mirassol is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win38%
Draw27%
Atlético-MG Win35%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%