Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
24%
29%
Palmeiras winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.60
2.19Avg goals scored2.51
0.47Avg goals conceded0.86
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

1.2

Flamengo xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Palmeiras is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win47%
Draw24%
Flamengo Win29%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%