Match Analysis

Red Bull BragantinovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
19%
17%
Red Bull Bragantino winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
1.41Avg goals scored0.91
1.24Avg goals conceded2.19
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Red Bull Bragantino xG

Expected goals

1

Chapecoense xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Red Bull Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Red Bull Bragantino is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Red Bull Bragantino's current form?

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Red Bull Bragantino Win64%
Draw19%
Chapecoense Win17%
BTTS56%
Over 2.562%