Match Analysis

SantosvsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
23%
30%
Santos winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.40Avg goals scored1.48
1.22Avg goals conceded1.58
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.3

Bahia xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Santos

Santos

LDDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Bahia?

Santos is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win47%
Draw23%
Bahia Win30%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%