Match Analysis

SantosvsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
24%
27%
Santos winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.40Avg goals scored1.20
1.22Avg goals conceded1.50
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.2

Grêmio xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

LDDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Grêmio?

Santos is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win49%
Draw24%
Grêmio Win27%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%