Match Analysis

SantosvsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
23%
57%
Santos winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.40Avg goals scored2.19
1.22Avg goals conceded0.47
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.8

Palmeiras xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

0–2

11%

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

0–3

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

LDDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win20%
Draw23%
Palmeiras Win57%
BTTS50%
Over 2.551%