Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Santos xG
Expected goals
1.8
Palmeiras xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
0–3
7%
Home
Santos
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Palmeiras
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Santos vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Santos's current form?
Santos have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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