Match Analysis

Vasco da GamavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
20%
57%
Vasco da Gama winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.60
1.64Avg goals scored2.51
1.48Avg goals conceded0.86
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Vasco da Gama xG

Expected goals

2.2

Flamengo xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

WWLLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vasco da Gama's current form?

Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vasco da Gama Win23%
Draw20%
Flamengo Win57%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%